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☆ Worker pay rose more than expected in Q1 in another sign of persistent inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Employee compensation costs jumped more than expected to start the year, providing another danger sign about persistent inflation, while consumer confidence hit its lowest level in nearly two years. The employment cost index, which measures worker salaries and benefits, gained 1.2% in the first quarter, the Labor Department reported Tuesday. The Fed watches the ECI as a significant measure of underlying inflation pressures. State and local government workers saw their compensation costs rise 4.8%, down just narrowly from the same period in 2023. The Consumer Confidence Index slipped to 97, a decline of 6.1 points that was below the Wall Street estimate for 103.5.

Persons: Dow Jones, Dana Peterson, Peterson Organizations: Labor Department, Dow, Fed, Committee, Conference Locations: State

☆ Consumers are really moving more to the value sector, says BCI Brands' Manny Chiricoo
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConsumers are really moving more to the value sector, says BCI Brands' Manny ChiricooDana Peterson, The Conference Board chief economist, and Manny Chirico, chair of BCI Brands, join CNBC's 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest number in retail sales, the state of the consumer, and more.

Persons: Manny Chiricoo Dana Peterson, Manny Chirico Organizations: Consumers, BCI Brands, The Conference Board

☆ Is the Fed's 2% inflation target still a realistic goal?
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIs the Fed's 2% inflation target still a realistic goal? Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist at BNP Paribas Asset Management, and Dana Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board, debate the outlook for inflation and how to navigate a non-2% world.

Persons: Daniel Morris, Dana Peterson Organizations: Asset Management, Conference Board

☆ The Trapped Economy: Americans Can't Buy a Home, Car, or Find a New Job
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-20 | by ( Emily Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

If you like your situation right now — your job, your house, your car — you can keep it. The labor market has cooled off somewhat, making it less advantageous to hunt for a new job. The car market is in a similar situation. Employers are hiring as if there's a relatively weak labor market, not a strong one. Yes, the labor market is strong, but it's not a great time to go looking for a new job.

Persons: Joanne Hsu, there's, they're, —, Dana Peterson, that's, it's, Matt Darling, Darling, Tamara Charm, Charm, Emily Stewart Organizations: University of Michigan, Labor Statistics, Conference Board, Companies, Employers, Niskanen, McKinsey, Business

☆ Economy will slow to a growth rate of 0-1% over the course of Q2-Q3, says Dana Peterson
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomy will slow to a growth rate of 0-1% over the course of Q2-Q3, says Dana PetersonDana Peterson, The Conference Board chief economist, and Nathan Thooft, Manulife Investment Management CIO and senior portfolio manager, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, the Fed's interest rate decision, inflation outlook, and more.

Persons: Dana Peterson Dana Peterson, Nathan Thooft Organizations: The Conference Board, Manulife Investment

☆ US consumer confidence soured in February for the first time in three months
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

Washington, DC CNN —Americans’ attitudes toward the economy soured in February after a three-month streak of improving moods, according to The Conference Board’s latest consumer survey released Tuesday. The survey’s index fell in February to 106.7, down from a reading of 110.9 in January. Americans became less worried about rising food and gas prices, but more concerned about the job market, the survey showed. “The drop in confidence was broad-based, affecting all income groups except households earning less than $15,000 and those earning more than $125,000,” Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board, said in a release. “Confidence deteriorated for consumers under the age of 35 and those 55 and over, whereas it improved slightly for those aged 35 to 54.”This story is developing and will be updated.

Persons: ” Dana Peterson Organizations: DC CNN, Conference Locations: Washington

☆ Surging restaurant prices are making dining out even more of a luxury
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

That’s because prices for groceries are up 1.2% year over year, while the price of food consumed at restaurants is up 5.1%. And in this election year, higher food prices, which rose last month to their highest monthly rate in a year, could present problems for President Joe Biden’s campaign. In January 2023, it was cheaper to dine out, with food prices up 8.2% compared to the prior year. In the post-pandemic world, consumers have been devoting more of their budgets to services compared to goods. As a whole, prices for services — which include dining out, transportation and entertainment — were up 0.7% in January compared to the prior month.

Persons: you’ve, Joe Biden’s, What’s, ”, Dana Peterson, ” Goldman Sachs Organizations: New, New York CNN, Conference Board Locations: New York

☆ Consumers are currently in a win-win situation, says Dana Peterson
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConsumers are currently in a win-win situation, says Dana PetersonDana Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board, discusses the January CPI report.

Persons: Dana Peterson Dana Peterson Organizations: Consumers, Conference Board

The business group’s consumer confidence index rose to 114.8 from a revised 108 in December. The present situation Index – a measure of current business and labor market conditions – surged to 161.3 from 147.2 last month. And it comes as the Federal Reserve is meeting in Washington to set interest rate policy, with economists forecasting the central bank will hold interest rates steady. But, he adds, “The Fed’s not going to change” at its first meeting of 2024 that began on Tuesday and do anything other than hold interest rates steady for the fourth meeting in a row. The index often leads other consumer sentiment surveys by two to three months, says Legal Shield CEO Warren Schlichting.

Persons: ”, Dana Peterson, Stephen Rich, Melissa Brown, Jerome Powell, Gene Goldman, Warren Schlichting, Schlichting, it’s Organizations: Conference, Mutual of America Capital Management, Federal Reserve, Investment Management, “, Labor Department, ADP Locations: U.S, Washington

☆ The biggest risks US businesses face in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

But, while businesses have plenty to be grateful for and much to be optimistic about, the coast isn’t clear. Last week, surveys from the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) and The Conference Board detailed the biggest risks that businesses are currently worried about. Here are some of the biggest risks for American businesses in 2024. Those financial stresses can reduce the willingness of banks to lend to others businesses and also to consumers,” she said. Bank earnings look really bad this quarter.

Persons: there’s, “, John Maynard Keynes, ”, ” Dana Peterson, Bill Dunkelberg, ” Peterson, ” Suzanne Clark, We’re, Mike Johnson, Chuck Schumer, Fitch, Clark, JPMorgan Chase, Nicole Goodkind, Krystal Hur, FactSet, Martin Luther King Jr, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal, National Federation of Independent Business, Board, US, of Commerce, of American, Conference Board, Conference, CNN, Fed, Corporate, US Chamber of Commerce, chamber’s State of American, AAA, Moody’s Investors Service, US Chamber, Commerce’s, Google, Citigroup, Bank, JPMorgan, FactSet, Revenue, Profit, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Bank of America, FDIC, Citi, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Alcoa, National Statistics, US Commerce Department, US Labor Department, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, National Association of Realtors Locations: Washington, Wells, Corporate America, chamber’s State, BlackRock, Amazon, Argentina, Japan

☆ We see a 'short & shallow' recession in the first half of 2024: The Conference Board's Dana Peterson
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe see a 'short & shallow' recession in the first half of 2024: The Conference Board's Dana PetersonDana Peterson, The Conference Board chief economist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, health of the consumer, revised Q3 GDP data, and more.

Persons: Dana Peterson Dana Peterson Organizations: The Conference Board

Consumers grew somewhat more optimistic about the future of the economy in November as expectations about inflation improved, but their sense of the current state of affairs worsened a bit. Still, two-thirds of consumers surveyed still expect a recession to be “somewhat” or “very likely” within the next 12 months. However, that is well above current inflation of 3.2% and forecasts from the Federal Reserve and mainstream economists. In the peak hour from 10 p.m. to 11 p.m. EST, consumers spent $15.7 million a minute, according to online analytics firm Adobe. One thing that might make some consumers happy is that home prices continued to increase in September.

Persons: ”, Dana Peterson, ” Peterson, Jeffrey Roach, Craig J, Lazzara, Lisa Sturtevant Organizations: Conference, Federal Reserve, LPL, “, Adobe, MLS Locations: Detroit, San Diego

"A fiscal commission is direly needed," Republican Senator Mike Braun, a Budget Committee member, said in an interview. It circulated ideas from a dozen experts on how a commission could offer up solutions for taming deficits and debt. Other recommendations included subjecting high-income earners to more Social Security taxes and gradually raising the age for full retirement benefits to 69 from the current 67. A commission, said independent Senator Bernie Sanders, who caucuses with Democrats, would simply be "a backdoor way to get into cutting Social Security." Sanders embraced lifting the cap on taxable income to extend the life of the Social Security trust fund.

Persons: Kevin Wurm, Mike Braun, Braun, Moody's, Fitch, Michael Peterson, Peter G, Mark Zandi, Dana Peterson, Lori Esposito Murray, Joe Manchin, Mitt Romney, Bernie Sanders, Sanders, Richard Cowan, Moira Warburton, Grant McCool Organizations: U.S, Capitol, REUTERS, Rights, Congress, Treasury Department, Republican, AAA, Peterson Foundation, Conference Board, Democratic, Representatives, Social Security, Social, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S

☆ Economic Outlook: Will 2024 Be Better?
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Sharon Epperson | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomic Outlook: Will 2024 Be Better? As we begin to close out a year dominated by historic inflation and interest rate hikes, the question on everyone's mind is when will things get better? CNBC's Sharon Epperson asks The Conference Board Chief Economist Dana Peterson to look ahead to 2024 and examine what the economic landscape may resemble, and what that means for your money.

Persons: Sharon Epperson, Dana Peterson Organizations: Conference Board

☆ Retailers predict a slower holiday shopping season
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Nathaniel Meyersohn | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —Retailers are projecting slower growth this holiday shopping season as inflation, higher borrowing costs, and the resumption of student loan repayments cause many consumers to pull back. The government reported that strong consumer spending drove the economy to a robust 4.9% annual growth rate in the July-September quarter. Consumer confidence dropped for the third consecutive month despite the booming economy. The resumption of student loan repayments last month after a three-year pause could also impact consumer spending. “Student loan repayments will diminish the already dwindling savings among younger households,” Moody’s said in a report this week.

Persons: Matthew Shay, ” Dana Peterson, “ Consumers, ”, ” Moody’s, ” Shay Organizations: New, New York CNN — Retailers, National Retail Federation, “, Consumer, Conference Board, Consumers Locations: New York, splurging

There are reasons for the central bank to be, as policymakers have said, "careful" in approving any further rate increases. "We think real rates are higher due to very strong US growth," analysts from Citi wrote ahead of this week's Fed meeting. As of the September meeting, Fed officials said they still felt one more rate hike would be necessary. But Powell has also said growth needs to slow - and if it doesn't, it means the Fed's policy rate will need to move higher. It's a good thing that the labor market's strong," Powell said at his press conference following the end of the Sept. 19-20 policy meeting.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, Powell, Nancy Vanden Houten, Dana Peterson, Consumers, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Economic, of New, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Citi, Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, U.S, Investors, Gross, Oxford Economics, Conference Board, Conference Board's, Thomson Locations: of New York, New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, joblessness

☆ Premarket stocks: American inequality is rising despite higher wages
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

The median (or mid-point) net worth for households has also increased. And while the median net worth has increased significantly, it’s still under $200,000 — far short of the estimated amount Americans should have in retirement savings. Bud Light sales keep sinkingBud Light continues to drag on Anheuser-Busch InBev’s bottom line in the United States, reports my colleague Jordan Valinsky. In the summer, Bud Light lost its long-held top-selling American beer title to rival Modelo. In an effort to jumpstart sales, Bud Light has been rolling out marketing campaigns and partnerships it thinks will placate fans.

Persons: it’s, ”, “ Consumers, ” Dana Peterson, Bud, Bud Light, Jordan Valinsky, Dylan Mulvaney, Elisabeth Buchwald, Biden, ’ Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Labor Department, Consumer Finances, Governors, Federal Reserve, Conference, Board, “, Conference Board, Wall, Dow, Nasdaq, Bud Light, Anheuser, Busch, InBev, Modelo, Beer Business, NFL, UFC Locations: New York, Black, United States

☆ US consumer confidence fall further in October
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

REUTERS/Bing Guan/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Oct 31 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer confidence declined for a third straight month in October amid persistent worries about inflation, higher borrowing costs and the political environment, a survey showed on Tuesday. The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index fell to 102.6 this month from an upwardly revised 104.3 in September. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the index slipping to 100.0 from the previously reported 103.0. "Consumers also expressed concerns about the political situation and higher interest rates. Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Chizu NomiyamaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Bing Guan, Dana Peterson, Consumers, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Board, Reuters, Conference Board, Thomson Locations: SoHo, New York City, U.S

WASHINGTON (AP) — American consumers are feeling increasingly less confident these days as fears of an oncoming recession remain elevated. The index measures both Americans’ assessment of current economic conditions and their outlook for the next six months. The index measuring Americans short-term outlook for income, business and job market declined again, to 75.6 in October from 76.4 in September. Though they continue to spend, inflation, geopolitical conflicts and inflation remain at the forefront of American consumers' minds. Consumers’ view of current conditions also fell this month, to 143.1 from 146.2 in September.

Persons: “, —, ”, Dana Peterson Organizations: WASHINGTON, Conference Board, Federal Reserve

☆ US consumer confidence dropped for third consecutive month despite the booming economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

For the third month in a row, the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell — dropping to 102.6 in October from an upwardly revised 104.3 in September. The decline in consumer confidence was not evident across all age groups and household income levels. People above the age of 55 exhibited the biggest monthly decline in consumer confidence. Meanwhile, consumers with a household income between $25,000 to $35,000 saw the biggest decline in confidence about the economy over the past month. In contrast, consumers with a household income between $100,000 to $125,000 saw the biggest jump in confidence over the past month.

Persons: ” Dana Peterson, “ Consumers, ”, Bill Adams, ” Peterson, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: New, New York CNN, Conference, Board, Conference Board, “, Big Three, United Auto Workers, Comerica Bank, LPL Financial, Federal Locations: New York, Israel

Home prices rose 0.4% in August and at an annual rate of 2.6%, as low inventories buoyed prices even while mortgages hit the 7% level. The CoreLogic Case-Shiller index for the month found 12 of the 20 cities in the index saw higher prices in August from the year-ago period. home prices continued to rise in August 2023,” said Craig J. Lazzara, managing director at S&P DJI. “The year’s increase in mortgage rates has surely suppressed housing demand, but after years of very low rates, it seems to have suppressed supply even more. Political Cartoons on the Economy View All 604 Images“The affordability challenge is being exacerbated by persistently higher mortgage rates,” said Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist for Bright MLS.

Persons: ”, Craig J, Lazzara, ” Selma Hepp, Lisa Sturtevant, Hannah Jones, That’s, Rhys Williams, It’s, Venkat Balakrishnan, –, Dana Peterson, “, ” Peterson Organizations: Bright MLS, Federal Reserve, ”, Census Bureau, “, Realtor.com, Management, Fed, Conference Board, Hamas, Financial Group Locations: Chicago, New York, Detroit, Las Vegas, “, Israel

☆ 'We are expecting a pause' from the Fed next week, says Conference Board's Dana Peterson
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'We are expecting a pause' from the Fed next week, says Conference Board's Dana PetersonDana Peterson, Conference Board chief economist, joins 'Fast Money' to talk today's PCE data and what to expect from the FOMC meeting next week.

Persons: Board's Dana Peterson Dana Peterson Organizations: Fed, Conference Board

☆ PCE: Gas prices heated up inflation last month, but there's also welcome progress for the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Minneapolis CNN —Higher gas prices heated up overall inflation last month, but the Federal Reserve got some welcome news: Its preferred inflation gauge cooled to its lowest level in two years. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures index, a closely watched inflation measure that excludes gas and food prices, rose 3.9% for the 12 months ended in August. However, it also was largely expected: Gas prices heated up last month as well. The Commerce Department’s monthly Personal Income and Outlays reports are typically closely watched as they provide a comprehensive account of pricing, income and spending data. Other federal data at risk for delays could include key housing and auto sales data, Census Bureau data, PCE and GDP reports, among others.

Persons: ” Andrew Patterson, ” Patterson, ” Dana Peterson, “ That’s, ”, that’s, Price, Security Administration’s, “ We’ve, ” Vanguard’s Patterson, “ Organizations: Minneapolis CNN —, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Vanguard, CNN, Energy, “ Energy, Consumers, Commerce, Conference Board, Labor, Department, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Price, Security, Adjustment, Labor Department Locations: Minneapolis, Saudi Arabia, Russia

☆ US consumer confidence ebbs in September
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

A woman carries shopping bags during the holiday season in New York City, U.S., December 21, 2022. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Sept 26 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer confidence fell for a second straight month in September amid worries about higher prices and the political environment, a survey showed on Tuesday. The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index dropped to 103.0 this month from an upwardly revised 108.7 in August. "Consumers also expressed concerns about the political situation and higher interest rates. The decline in consumer confidence was evident across all age groups, and notably among consumers with household incomes of $50,000 or more."

Persons: Eduardo Munoz, Dana Peterson, Consumers, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Board, Reuters, Conference Board, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

Consumers are growing more pessimistic about future prospects for the economy, according to the latest survey from the Conference Board released on Tuesday. “Consumer confidence fell again in September 2023, marking two consecutive months of decline,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at the business organization. “September’s disappointing headline number reflected another decline in the expectations index, as the present situation index was little changed. “Write-in responses showed that consumers continued to be preoccupied with rising prices in general, and for groceries and gasoline in particular,” Peterson added. “Consumers also expressed concerns about the political situation and higher interest rates.

Persons: ”, Dana Peterson, “, ” Peterson, “ Consumers, Kelly Mangold, Lisa Sturtevant Organizations: Conference, “, Federal Reserve, Census Bureau, U.S . Department of Housing, Urban Development, Real Estate Consulting, MLS, American Financial Corporation

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